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Image for Theoretische Grundlagen der Konjunkturprognose

Theoretische Grundlagen der Konjunkturprognose

Klaus Fischer, Fischer

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Zur antizyklischen Konjunktursteuerung ist die Wirtschaftspolitik auf Konjunkturprognosen angewiesen.

Die vorliegende Studie untersucht die wesentlichen konjunkturtheoretischen Ansatze anhand von Kriterien des Kritischen Rationalismus und des Pragmatismus auf ihre Eignung zur Erklarung persistenter Wirtschaftsschwankungen.

Schlielich werden analytische und naive Prognoseverfahren hinsichtlich ihrer Vorhersagequalitat bewertet; einfache Methoden erweisen sich dabei gegenuber komplizierteren Ansatzen als uberlegen.

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Product Details

Publisher/Imprint Peter Lang Gmbh, Internationaler Verlag Der Wissenschaften

ISBN/Ean3631418000 / 9783631418000

FormatPaperback

Published01/06/1989

Country of PubGermany

Dimensions148 x 210 mm, 160 grams

BIC HP Philosophy, JH Sociology & anthropology, KCA Economic theory & philosophy, KCJ Economic forecasting